Wind SeiryuuTier 2
at 20260307 貓腳印-桃園店 PTM 店冠賽
decks
5
(16.7% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
25
10-12-3
overall winrate
46.0%
ELO-adjusted winrate
45.1%
avg ELO -1.8 per match
expected value
49.4%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
48.7%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill · average
mean ELO 1325
· median 1366
· range 1148–1429
(5 pilots with an ELO rating)
1118
Q1 1255
Q3 1415
1591
40% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
20% in the bottom.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire Crux Lorraine | 13.3% | 4 | 1-3-0 | 25.0% | 37.5% | 43.7% | -4.0 |
| Water Aetherwing | 13.3% | 5 | 3-0-2 | 80.0% | 66.7% | 59.6% | +5.5 |
| Water Genbu | 10.0% | 7 | 1-5-1 | 21.4% | 31.8% | 28.3% | -10.9 |
| Fire Oblation | 6.7% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 57.4% | +11.9 |
| Fire Umbra Guardian | 6.7% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 52.8% | +4.5 |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 6.7% | 4 | 1-3-0 | 25.0% | 37.5% | 41.2% | -5.6 |
| Wind Wakeup Combo | 6.7% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 58.9% | +8.6 |
| Fire Aetherwing | 3.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Ravishing Mill | 3.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Crux Lorraine | 3.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Fractal | 3.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Arcane | 3.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Umbra Diana | 3.3% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 55.3% | +8.5 |
